Canterbury United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
WEL
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
WAI
0 - 2
CAN
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
WAN
3 - 1
CAN
26%
26%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 2
TEA
36%
25%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 1
SOU
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
WAI
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HAW
3 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
HAW
2 - 5
WEL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
WAI
1 - 1
HAW
53%
22%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
WAN
1 - 2
HAW
25%
22%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |