Canterbury United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAN
2 - 0
WAI
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 0
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
CAN
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TEA
3 - 1
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 4
HAW
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 1
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
4 - 2
HAW
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
63%
21%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
WAI
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 4
HAW
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |