Canterbury United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 2
WAI
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 2
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 0
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUC
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
AUC
30%
26%
43%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 3
MAN
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
TEA
2 - 5
HAW
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 0
HAW
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 1
HAW
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |