Premiership Playoff Título Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Canterbury United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
WAI
2 - 3
CAN
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
4 - 1
MAN
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
HAW
1 - 1
CAN
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
4 - 0
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OTA
1 - 4
CAN
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 4
AUC
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
7 - 1
WAI
87%
10%
4%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TEA
2 - 3
AUC
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
3 - 2
TEA
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AUC
2 - 3
WAI
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |