Caniçal vs Braganca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caniçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PED
1 - 2
CAN
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 2
MON
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 2
CAN
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 3
TOR
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAN
68%
17%
14%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
TOR
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 1
PED
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 1
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 1
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |