Caniçal vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caniçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAN
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 0
CAN
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 1
CAL
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 4
CAN
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
SAN
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
CIN
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 2
AMA
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
AMA
55%
24%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |