Canelas 2010 vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
78.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ANA
1 - 0
CAN
38%
29%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 2
CAN
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
FAF
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
REG
69%
17%
13%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAN
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
VIT
25%
28%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ARO
2 - 2
VIT
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |