Canelas 2010 vs Vilaverdense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
6º
40
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAN
77%
17%
6%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
SAO
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
CAN
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 3
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 1
CAN
71%
19%
10%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
VSC
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
VAR
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
VIL
28%
27%
46%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |