Canelas 2010 vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
5º
12
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 8
FEL
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAN
46%
27%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 2
ANA
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
CAN
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 1
TRO
16%
26%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
VIA
64%
21%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
VAR
18%
27%
55%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VIA
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIA
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |