Canelas 2010 vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
6º
35
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAN
43%
30%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
VSC
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 0
CAN
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 2
VAR
20%
27%
53%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAN
50%
27%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRA
67%
22%
12%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 2
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
BRA
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |