Canelas 2010 vs Regua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAN
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
PAR
35%
29%
36%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 2
CAN
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 0
CAN
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 0
LUS
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
12 - 0
REG
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
COI
4 - 1
REG
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LAM
3 - 2
REG
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
REG
1 - 3
GON
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
REG
1 - 3
RTA
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |