Canelas 2010 vs Regua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FAF
1 - 0
CAN
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 5
SAO
42%
27%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ANA
1 - 1
CAN
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 3
CAN
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
MAR
38%
27%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
COI
4 - 1
REG
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LAM
3 - 2
REG
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
REG
1 - 3
GON
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
REG
1 - 3
RTA
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
REG
6 - 1
FON
88%
9%
4%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | 0 |