Canelas 2010 vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
7º
6º
28
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 2
CAN
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 0
CAN
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 0
LUS
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FAF
2 - 0
CAN
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 1
CAN
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
VIL
46%
28%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ACA
3 - 1
PAR
65%
22%
14%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GDF
0 - 4
PAR
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
SMA
41%
29%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
PAR
43%
29%
29%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |