Canelas 2010 vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FAF
2 - 0
CAN
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 1
CAN
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 3
FAF
60%
23%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
ANA
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 1
ANA
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FAF
0 - 0
LUS
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ANA
1 - 1
LUS
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 2
FAF
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |