Canelas 2010 vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
CAN
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 0
CAN
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
CAN
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 2
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
LUS
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 4
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
LUS
26%
27%
48%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 1
BMA
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 4
LUS
8%
16%
76%
|
42 | 11 | 31 | 0 |