Canelas 2010 vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAN
4 - 2
CMA
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
OSL
2 - 6
CAN
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
CRE
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PED
1 - 2
CAN
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
SSV
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 4
BOA
7%
18%
75%
|
31 | 73 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 3
AVE
10%
20%
70%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
ESP
84%
14%
3%
|
31 | 77 | 46 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ARO
4 - 0
ESP
86%
12%
3%
|
31 | 68 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CIN
4 - 0
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |