Canelas 2010 vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAN
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 1
LEC
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GIN
0 - 3
CAN
9%
16%
75%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PED
0 - 0
CAN
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
ESP
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
COI
0 - 0
CAS
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAL
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LUS
0 - 2
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GIN
0 - 6
CAS
8%
15%
77%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |