Canelas 2010 vs Vila Cortez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAN
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAN
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 1
RDA
61%
21%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 1
SAO
65%
19%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 1
ANA
35%
26%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 5
VAL
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LUS
5 - 1
VCO
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
VCO
0 - 8
ESP
10%
17%
73%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VCO
0 - 4
BMA
7%
16%
77%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
7 - 0
VCO
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |