Canelas 2010 vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 3
CAN
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
CAN
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 0
CAN
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
LUS
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 2
AMA
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
AMA
0 - 1
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 0
AMA
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |