Canelas 2010 vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
62.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAN
3 - 0
RES
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 2
CAN
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 0
PED
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAN
3 - 2
UNI
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
COI
3 - 3
CAN
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
VAR
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 3
CIN
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FEL
1 - 2
AMA
31%
27%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FAF
0 - 1
AMA
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AMA
4 - 0
CAM
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |