Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
Candás CF vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Candás CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
CAN
1 - 2
LEM
57%
24%
19%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
AST
1 - 3
CAN
29%
29%
42%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
CAN
0 - 1
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
DEP
0 - 0
CAN
75%
17%
9%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
CAN
1 - 1
BAS
32%
28%
40%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
CDO
3 - 1
DEP
76%
17%
7%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
DEP
0 - 2
PON
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
COM
3 - 1
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
DEP
0 - 0
CAN
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
AVI
1 - 2
DEP
51%
26%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |