Cancún vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
8º
7º
20
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
20 | 30 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 27 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 24 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 18 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 18 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 17 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 16 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 13 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
23.5% | 99.5% |
|
Final Series
|
50% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cancún
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MER
4 - 0
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 1
TAM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 0
ZAC
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 2
CFC
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 0
TEM
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UDG
3 - 1
UAT
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TIA
1 - 2
UDG
21%
27%
53%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UDG
1 - 0
ZAC
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 1
UDG
21%
26%
54%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
UDG
1 - 1
CDT
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |