Cancún vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
7º
7º
3
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 30 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 28 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 23 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 23 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 20 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 20 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 18 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 17 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 16 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 14 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 13 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 11 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 9 |
15º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
67.5% | 60.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 39.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cancún
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ZAC
1 - 1
CFC
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 0
ALE
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TEM
1 - 1
CFC
37%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
2 - 1
UAT
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 3
JUA
36%
24%
40%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
MER
1 - 1
ATL
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 1
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MER
1 - 2
TAM
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TEM
2 - 2
MER
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
JUA
42%
23%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |