Cancún vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cancún
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
UDG
3 - 0
CFC
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 2
MER
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CDT
1 - 0
CFC
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
ALE
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
UAT
0 - 0
CFC
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
MOR
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
RYD
2 - 3
TOR
32%
30%
39%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 1
CIM
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
TIA
0 - 1
TOR
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
TEM
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |