Cancún vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cancún
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 2
ALE
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
TEM
0 - 1
CFC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 0
TIA
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
UDG
0 - 1
CFC
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CFC
4 - 0
SPT
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
MOR
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
CDT
1 - 0
TOR
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 1
MER
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
ALE
1 - 2
TOR
33%
29%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
ZAC
1 - 1
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |