Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
COO
0 - 0
CAN
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
CAN
52%
22%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 2
CAN
63%
19%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAN
48%
22%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 2
WOD
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TUG
1 - 0
WOD
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MON
2 - 6
TUG
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
TUG
91%
7%
3%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TUG
1 - 4
COO
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAN
6 - 1
TUG
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |