Canberra Cosmos vs West Adelaide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
SYD
1 - 0
CCO
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
CCO
2 - 3
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCO
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 2
MEL
23%
22%
54%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
CCO
2 - 0
GIF
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
WAD
3 - 1
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1996 |
NCB
6 - 1
WAD
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
WAD
0 - 1
ADE
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ADE
0 - 0
WAD
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
WAD
65%
19%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |