Canberra Cosmos vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SYD
1 - 1
CCO
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2000 |
CCO
0 - 2
CSC
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
PER
3 - 2
CCO
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2000 |
CCO
1 - 0
PAP
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
BRI
0 - 0
CCO
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
SOU
2 - 2
ADE
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
MEL
0 - 4
SOU
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 2
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
GIF
0 - 1
SOU
24%
26%
51%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 3
NZK
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |