Canberra Cosmos vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
65.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1998 |
SYD
2 - 0
CCO
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1998 |
CCO
0 - 1
BRI
27%
28%
46%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1998 |
CCO
0 - 1
SFC
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
CCO
0 - 1
ADE
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
SOU
4 - 2
CCO
80%
14%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 0
SYD
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1998 |
BRI
0 - 1
SOU
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 0
SFC
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
ADE
1 - 1
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 1
SOU
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |