Canberra Cosmos vs Newcastle Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
BRI
2 - 0
CCO
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
CCO
0 - 1
WAD
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 2
CCO
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
CCO
1 - 1
SYD
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 2
CCO
70%
17%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
NCB
2 - 4
ADE
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
GIF
1 - 0
NCB
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
NCB
1 - 4
MEL
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
BRI
3 - 2
NCB
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SYD
3 - 0
NCB
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |