Canberra Cosmos vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1997 |
CWA
6 - 2
CCO
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
CCO
4 - 1
PER
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
WAD
4 - 1
CCO
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
CCO
0 - 2
SYD
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 0
CCO
81%
13%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1997 |
GIF
1 - 1
PER
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
WAD
3 - 2
GIF
70%
18%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
GIF
1 - 1
SYD
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 0
GIF
81%
12%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
GIF
1 - 2
MEL
25%
24%
52%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |