Canberra Cosmos vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
MEL
5 - 0
CCO
65%
20%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
CCO
2 - 0
NCB
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
BRI
2 - 0
CCO
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
CCO
0 - 1
WAD
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 2
CCO
77%
14%
9%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
GIF
0 - 0
ADE
32%
26%
43%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
SYD
2 - 1
GIF
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
MEL
5 - 1
GIF
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
GIF
1 - 0
NCB
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
BRI
6 - 1
GIF
66%
19%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |