Canberra Cosmos vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
CCO
0 - 0
ADE
39%
26%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
MEL
1 - 3
CCO
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
CCO
3 - 2
NCB
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
BRI
3 - 1
CCO
63%
20%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
CCO
1 - 1
WAD
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 1
GIF
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
GIF
0 - 4
ADE
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
SYD
0 - 2
GIF
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
MEL
1 - 0
GIF
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
GIF
1 - 0
NCB
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |