Canals vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RAC
1 - 0
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
UEM
3 - 0
CAN
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PEG
0 - 1
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
FON
3 - 1
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAS
4 - 0
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 1
LAL
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PEG
1 - 3
MUR
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
1 - 0
FON
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAS
3 - 1
MUR
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MUR
4 - 0
LLX
29%
24%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +3 |