Canadian vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canadian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 0
CSM
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 0
CAN
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 0
BOS
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 0
CAN
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
PRO
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
LFC
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 1
VIL
49%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
CSY
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CSM
1 - 1
VIL
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |