Canadian vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canadian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
ATE
3 - 0
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 1
CEL
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
REN
0 - 0
CAN
57%
25%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 1
TAC
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 1
CAN
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
ORI
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 4
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
PRO
3 - 0
HFC
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ATE
1 - 1
PRO
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
CEL
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |