Canadian vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canadian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 3
CAN
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
PLA
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
HFC
1 - 0
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 1
CSC
54%
25%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 3
CAN
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 1
CEN
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LFC
6 - 0
PRO
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 0
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CSY
1 - 1
PRO
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 2
VIL
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |