Canadian vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canadian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 2
CAN
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
REN
2 - 1
CAN
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
CAN
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 3
ATE
36%
26%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
CAN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CSC
0 - 3
DEP
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
CSC
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CSC
0 - 2
ETS
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
CSC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CSC
3 - 1
COL
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |