Canada vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
CAN
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
CAN
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 0
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
CAN
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
CAN
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
URU
37%
24%
38%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
URU
3 - 1
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |