Canada vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1975 |
CAN
0 - 3
DDR
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1975 |
CAN
1 - 4
POL
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1975 |
CAN
1 - 8
POL
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
CUB
4 - 0
CAN
55%
20%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1974 |
POL
2 - 0
CAN
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1975 |
CAN
0 - 3
DDR
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1975 |
ISL
2 - 1
DDR
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1975 |
DDR
1 - 2
POL
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
DDR
4 - 0
GRC
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1975 |
GRC
0 - 1
DDR
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |