Canada vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
0 - 3
NED
15%
24%
61%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
0 - 2
ESP
18%
27%
56%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
0 - 2
GER
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
1 - 1
BRA
14%
25%
62%
|
75 | 95 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
POR
8 - 0
LIE
94%
5%
1%
|
89 | 11 | 78 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
POR
1 - 0
AUT
52%
26%
23%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
LVA
1 - 3
POR
19%
27%
54%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
NIR
1 - 2
POR
37%
31%
32%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
NOR
0 - 0
POR
45%
29%
27%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |