Canada vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
VEN
1 - 1
CAN
65%
20%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
ARG
5 - 0
CAN
78%
16%
6%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
JAM
1 - 0
CAN
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
CAN
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
MKD
3 - 0
CAN
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2009 |
HND
1 - 2
PER
61%
23%
17%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
BOL
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
77%
17%
7%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
VEN
3 - 1
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
28%
27%
46%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |