Canada vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1980 |
CAN
4 - 0
NZL
51%
20%
29%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
TTO
1 - 1
CAN
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
CAN
1 - 3
PRK
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
CAN
1 - 2
SUN
43%
26%
30%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1975 |
CAN
1 - 7
DDR
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1980 |
CAN
4 - 0
NZL
51%
20%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
NZL
4 - 0
MEX
10%
23%
68%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 1980 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
FIJ
4 - 0
NZL
28%
25%
46%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1980 |
TAH
3 - 1
NZL
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |