Canada vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
TTO
1 - 1
CAN
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
CAN
1 - 3
PRK
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
CAN
1 - 2
SUN
43%
26%
30%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1975 |
CAN
1 - 7
DDR
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1975 |
CAN
0 - 3
DDR
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
NZL
4 - 0
MEX
10%
23%
68%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1980 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
FIJ
4 - 0
NZL
28%
25%
46%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1980 |
TAH
3 - 1
NZL
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1980 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
20%
20%
60%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |