Canada vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
HND
3 - 1
CAN
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
MEX
2 - 1
CAN
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 2
HND
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 1
JAM
46%
28%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
CAN
4 - 1
VCT
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
JAM
1 - 0
MEX
18%
25%
56%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
MEX
0 - 1
CHL
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
MEX
2 - 1
CAN
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MEX
3 - 0
JAM
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
MEX
2 - 1
HND
69%
19%
13%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |