Canada vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1989 |
CAN
2 - 0
BEL
28%
30%
41%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
FRO
0 - 1
CAN
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1989 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
DEN
2 - 0
CAN
90%
7%
3%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
TTO
1 - 2
CAN
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1990 |
MEX
2 - 0
COL
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1990 |
URU
1 - 2
MEX
47%
28%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1990 |
MEX
2 - 0
ARG
54%
25%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1989 |
MEX
4 - 2
KOR
65%
22%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1989 |
MEX
2 - 0
SLV
78%
16%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | +1 |