Canada vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
26.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1984 |
CAN
0 - 0
CHI
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1984 |
CHN
5 - 1
CAN
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1984 |
CGO
0 - 2
CAN
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1984 |
CAN
3 - 1
NGA
54%
22%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1984 |
CAN
0 - 2
ITA
10%
23%
68%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1984 |
IRQ
3 - 2
QAT
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
QAT
2 - 1
IRQ
11%
24%
65%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1984 |
KWT
1 - 3
IRQ
42%
27%
32%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1984 |
BHR
0 - 1
IRQ
5%
21%
73%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
KSA
0 - 4
IRQ
20%
29%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |