Canada vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 0
CHI
2%
26%
72%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1988 |
CAN
0 - 3
GRC
47%
23%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
CAN
0 - 1
GRC
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 0
MEX
18%
26%
56%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 0
MEX
17%
25%
58%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1988 |
CHI
0 - 1
GRC
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1988 |
CAN
0 - 3
GRC
47%
23%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
CAN
0 - 1
GRC
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1988 |
GRC
2 - 3
ROU
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1988 |
DEN
4 - 0
GRC
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |