Canada vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
21.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 1973 |
CAN
1 - 3
POL
32%
26%
43%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1972 |
GTM
2 - 2
CAN
55%
20%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
CUB
4 - 0
CAN
42%
21%
37%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1970 |
PAN
4 - 3
CAN
45%
21%
34%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1961 |
HND
6 - 0
CAN
54%
19%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1973 |
USA
0 - 1
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
POL
4 - 0
USA
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
BMU
4 - 0
USA
18%
21%
61%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1972 |
BRD
7 - 0
USA
84%
10%
7%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
MAS
3 - 0
USA
52%
21%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -2 |