Canada vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
55.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
0 - 2
GER
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
1 - 1
BRA
14%
25%
62%
|
75 | 95 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1994 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
AUS
2 - 1
CAN
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1993 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUS
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1994 |
FIN
1 - 2
ESP
17%
27%
57%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
ESP
0 - 2
CRO
92%
7%
2%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1994 |
ESP
1 - 1
POL
66%
21%
14%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1994 |
ESP
2 - 2
POR
67%
21%
12%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 0
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |